Showing posts with label inflation. Show all posts
Showing posts with label inflation. Show all posts

Thursday, January 30, 2014

INFLATION: CAUSE AND EFFECT

“There is no subtler, no surer means of overturning the existing basis of society than to debauch the currency.  The process engages all the hidden forces of economic law on the side of destruction, and does it in a manner which not one man in a million is able to diagnose.” John Maynard Keynes
In economic terms, ‘inflation is the persistent substantial rise in prices related to an increasing volume of money.’ Put in simple terms, things cost more because money is worth less. How does this happen? Well, printed money backed by nothing has no value. It’s like putting Monopoly money into circulation and calling it real. Say you have $100 and add $100 of Monopoly money. Now you have $200, but half of it is fake. Sellers know this, so they double their prices. The increase cost of goods is directly proportional to the amount of fake money added to the money supply. This is inflation. This is what happens when the Fed ‘makes’ money.
            Since the creation of the Fed in 1913, the value of the dollar has been reduced by 95%. Today, what you buy for $1.00 you used to be able to get for a nickel. If you have $30,000 in your bank account today, with inflation at 3.5 %, in ten years you would have $20,550. With inflation at 5.5%, in ten years your $30,000 would be worth $16,500. Inflation decreases your buying power. Even if you don’t spend your money, you become poorer over time.
            Inflation is an invisible tax. The Fed prints money for the government, diluting its value for everyone. If the government gave this money to everyone, doling it out equally, then everyone would suffer the same from the reduced value of the dollar. But that’s not what happens. The government spends the printed money on ‘special projects’. It gives away money to ‘special friends.’ A few benefit from the printed (free) money, while the rest of the population gets nothing but a dollar that is worth less. Forget about taxes, this is the way wealth is really redistributed.

WHAT THE HECK IS THE CPI?

 Due to inflation (which measures the successive decrease in value of the dollar), Social Security payments receive cost-of-living adjustments. These are based on the consumer price index, known as the CPI. The index is a rough indication of the rise in price of goods over time, and thus is said to be a measure of inflation. (When money is worth less you need more of it to buy any given item.)  Currently, the government estimates inflation to be 1.8%.
            However, anyone who has gone to the grocery store recently knows that prices have increased much more than 2%. My own grocery bill is over 5% higher than last year. So, why the discrepancy?
            In its infinite wisdom, in the 70's, the government decided to exclude the cost of food and energy from the calculation of the CPI, on the grounds that the prices were too volatile and therefore misleading. Wrong. The price of food and energy were showing too clearly the true cost of inflation. In 2012, if you factor in food and energy in the CPI, inflation is about 7%. This effectively means that seniors are paying more for food and gas, but their monthly checks aren’t keeping up with this increase. This is crazy. Besides health care, food and gas are seniors greatest expenditures -- what they actually spend most of their money on. Yet, these very items are excluded from the cost-of-living adjustment. Don’t let the government recalculate the CPI. It is not going to favor seniors that’s for sure.